Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.429614 0.505988 0.590105 0.689363 0.803011 0.928790 1.078242
2024-10-13 0.305417 0.404067 0.523821 0.678752 0.872616 1.105812 1.406025
2024-10-20 0.227187 0.333004 0.472784 0.668314 0.931674 1.270620 1.735714
2024-10-27 0.175848 0.282488 0.434260 0.661403 0.987059 1.430455 2.071544
2024-11-03 0.144704 0.252205 0.415573 0.674763 1.066617 1.625887 2.470218
2024-11-10 0.120063 0.225785 0.396456 0.681969 1.134596 1.808049 2.863846
2024-11-17 0.100222 0.202558 0.377401 0.684579 1.193112 1.978679 3.252441
2024-11-24 0.085873 0.185643 0.365275 0.695297 1.263401 2.170867 3.686777
2024-12-01 0.073114 0.168825 0.350127 0.697785 1.318780 2.342356 4.100266
2024-12-08 0.059456 0.147132 0.322230 0.673093 1.323810 2.430818 4.385397
2024-12-15 0.053481 0.140220 0.321186 0.697080 1.415744 2.669742 4.933239
2024-12-22 0.047728 0.132525 0.317208 0.714497 1.496682 2.895077 5.472807
2024-12-29 0.044662 0.130729 0.325671 0.758505 1.633371 3.231635 6.233065
2025-01-05 0.037974 0.118520 0.309788 0.750808 1.670392 3.393569 6.700639
2025-01-12 0.032209 0.107233 0.293976 0.740894 1.701529 3.546500 7.162202
2025-01-19 0.027538 0.097689 0.280484 0.733910 1.737194 3.709530 7.651766
2025-01-26 0.024668 0.092606 0.276946 0.748780 1.819411 3.966915 8.332501
2025-02-02 0.021848 0.086913 0.270860 0.756768 1.887372 4.200860 8.983040
2025-02-09 0.019193 0.081001 0.263132 0.759665 1.944161 4.416117 9.610357
2025-02-16 0.017205 0.076772 0.259234 0.771423 2.021613 4.678069 10.343965
2025-02-23 0.015167 0.071749 0.252183 0.774154 2.078454 4.901094 11.013161
2025-03-02 0.012561 0.063702 0.234707 0.747098 2.062730 4.970580 11.377275
2025-03-09 0.011681 0.062227 0.236944 0.773385 2.176807 5.323856 12.340100